Trump’s Path to 270: The Power of Endorsements

Donald Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee, has received plenty of endorsements by prominent leaders and other elected officials in America. A few states that I believe would be very helpful to Trump would be in battleground states and likely blue states where he has received endorsements from governors. This includes Maine (4 electoral votes), New Jersey (14 electoral votes), and Florida (29 electoral votes). Does Trump need to put a lot of effort in these states to win? Maybe, but it may not be as necessarily as one might think.

Current and Former Governors Who Support Donald Trump

Governors, current and former, can be great allies in helping a candidate gain support. However, there’s much more than just offering an endorsement involved. Current governors should meet with the candidate they’re endorsing so they can announce to their constituents all of the things that would be negotiated and collaborated on if said candidate were elected. There should be rallies held by the governor and other elected officials that endorsed the candidate across the state. There need to be interviews in major areas that have their own news channels. This takes a lot of time, effort, and planning to help gain support for a candidate. But it’s worth it.

Currently, if current and former governors who endorsed or said they would support Trump in a general election were to do all of these things and help their states vote for him, he would start with 250 electoral votes.

States with current and/or former governors that have endorsed or expressed explicit support for Donald Trump

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If these states were added to a map of likely predictions and toss-up states, Trump would win the election fairly easily with at least 308 electoral votes.

Likely Democratic and Republican voting states added to the previous map

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States Trump Should Emphasize
Earlier, I wrote an article analyzing five states Donald Trump should focus on in order to win the White House. These five states were states in which Trump not only polled closely to Clinton, they were states where Trump had a political advantage over her. There are other states that Trump could potentially win if his campaign were to put in the necessary effort to get him elected. Like the other states from the previous article, Trump has a political advantage in these other states. The votes from these states aren’t for getting to 270 electoral votes as much as sending a very strong message to the Democratic Party and Hillary Clinton.
Maryland (Clinton +34.6; 10 electoral votes)
While Maryland has a higher black population and is expected to vote for Clinton, I can almost guarantee that, while the state’s overall population may not openly support Trump, they want something done about the problems they’re all facing. One issue is crime. Another issue may include the economy. However, this is a state where Trump has an opportunity to appeal to black voters. According to progressive media outlet, The Nation, Hillary Clinton doesn’t deserve the black vote. The Nation claims that policies Bill Clinton enacted, such as the idea of “three strikes” in 1994 and welfare reform, which were supported by Hillary, decimated black America. Donald Trump could benefit greatly by working with center-right progressives that feel strongly about these issues and steal Maryland.
New York (Clinton +21.7; 29 electoral votes)
Trump is a very proud New Yorker. The Clintons moved to New York and called the place home sometime after her husband left the White House. She then was elected as a Senator there and people now apparently like her. New York City is a very diverse city, but this can be a burden to Hillary. Just as it was with Maryland, New York City has boroughs with a high black population. All Trump has to do is convince them that Hillary hasn’t really done anything to help the black community and won’t do anything later and she’s done. This won’t be easy, though. There are more than just black voters in New York City, so there’s a lot more for the Trump campaign to figure out. Either way, the campaign needs to promise a better economy in the more run down boroughs as well as promise to help make the streets safer for everyone. The economy and public safety are two key issues most people can unite around.
California (Clinton +25.6; 55 electoral votes)
I know what you’re thinking: What political advantage could Donald Trump have in a heavily Hispanic-populated state like that? One big advantage is that California elected Arnold Schwarzenegger. Yes, I understand that the governator doesn’t like Trump, but the point is that California isn’t known for electing Republicans. With Schwarzenegger’s election and reelection, California proved that it would elect a celebrity.
According to OnTheIssues, Schwarzenegger is a political centrist. The same website declared that Donald Trump is a moderate conservative. If Trump can get Californians to understand that he’s actually a moderate and is more like previous governors they elected than Hillary is, he could have a slim chance at gaining a lot of support in California. If it’s the investment bank-hating Bernie supporters he’s after, he could expose Hillary by emphasizing the fact that her Goldman Sachs speech transcripts aren’t being released. He could then assert a claim that Hillary won’t care about California except for well-to-do San Francisco, which is a financial capital that has a ton of investment banks.
For the record, I don’t think Trump will win California. He may close the gap between himself and Clinton. But his campaign rhetoric about the wall along the border may be too much for the uninformed liberal Hispanic population there to handle.
Washington (No polling data available; 12 electoral votes)
 Having spent 10 years near Seattle, I can tell you a few things about Washington. First of all, there’s a lot of economic inequality around Seattle, Tacoma, and Olympia. Secondly, there’s a large black population around Seattle, meaning that the issue in New York City and Maryland with Hillary could be emphasized. Trump could find all of the people that work in the industrial parts of the metropolitan areas, specifically those in manufacturing, and hold rallies that are specifically geared towards increasing employment and opportunity for them.
For example, Boeing employees aren’t always treated well and, thanks to the labor union, Boeing decided not to build the highly anticipated Dreamliner in Seattle. Trump needs to address problems like this and figure out a national solution that would help bring manufacturing jobs like this back to Washington. Doing so would definitely result in the support of many. Especially if he pointed out that Hillary has no desire to do what is necessary to help these kind of workers.
 Oregon (Clinton +11; 7 electoral votes)
My home state is known as a crazily blue state, but those from Oregon that have traveled a little bit outside of the two or three major cities will tell you: There are more conservatives here than the media wants you to know about. When Trump visited Eugene, he talked a lot about the economy. When Oregon was thriving, the timber industry was big. When Oregon closed most of its log mills, a lot of people lost their jobs. One big misconception with the timber industry is that it’s bad for the environment and Republicans don’t care about that. This is not only false, but Oregon Republicans love the environment. We love our trees that are planted all over our cities and college campuses. We love the clean air that we have, the clean and very good water we have, and the scenery that you just can’t find anywhere else.
Trump knows that he can tap into this anger that most Oregonians have towards the state government in hindering the local economy. Doing so would result in closing the gap between him and Clinton, but there’s more than the economy he needs to hit hard. If Trump were to emphasize the environment a little more and commit to making a national plan to beautify and clean the air with more national green energy solutions that make sense, he would mop the floor with Hillary in Oregon.
History Lesson: The Impossible is Possible
I know that there will be many who read this and say that Washington, Oregon, and even California will never vote Republican ever again in a presidential election. This is a major turn in history! Washington, Oregon, and California voted Republican during every election from 1968 to 1984. That’s four elections in a row that the entire west coast voted for a Republican! Today, we call that a likely Republican voting state; it is considered highly unlikely to change. Therefore, the seemingly impossible instantly becomes possible when one reviews history.
So when people say that Donald Trump has absolutely no chance of flipping Washington, Oregon, and California, I just tell them that they should look at election history. When a big change like this happens, we tend to see dramatic changes for an undisclosed period of time due to the people being angry or dissatisfied with the current situation. During the Great Depression, Herbert Hoover made a bad decision with the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act and Franklin Delano Roosevelt (FDR) was elected after Hoover ran for reelection. Then, after three reelections of FDR and an election of Harry S. Truman, the people overwhelmingly elected Dwight D. Eisenhower. After George H.W. Bush, it was Bill Clinton. After George W. Bush, it was Barack Obama.
Bottom line: The people are angry and dissatisfied with the Obama administration. Just as people don’t see too many Clinton supporters on Facebook today, people are confused as to what amazing economic recovery Obama is boasting about when their communities are only slightly improving. In short, Clinton has a lot of defending to do if she is to win the White House in November. One thing is for sure: A lot of problems have occurred in society since Obama took office. You and I know that correlation is not causation, but do the majority of voters honestly know that? I highly doubt it.

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